LU JIA JUN | PEAK
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The PEAK Framework

Rules written in calm, followed in chaos.

PEAK is the written rulebook behind how I manage the funds inside my clients' policies. The name is literal: every fund is measured by its distance from its peak, and every rule in the framework is anchored to that number. It exists because the worst investment decisions are made under pressure, and the only reliable cure I have found is to make the decisions before the pressure arrives. This page explains how it works, how it is tested, and what it deliberately will not promise you.

/01 · MONITOR

Every fund, every market day.

Each fund I manage is tracked daily against its rolling high, the highest value it has reached over a recent window. The distance from that high is the drawdown, and it is the framework's pulse. A policy reviewed annually finds out about a problem up to twelve months late. A policy watched daily finds out the same week.

Monitoring is not the same as reacting. Most days the right action is nothing, and the framework says so explicitly. The point of watching daily is that when a threshold is crossed, the response happens on schedule rather than whenever someone next remembers the policy exists.

/02 · ENTER

Buying by tranches at preset levels.

When a fund falls, the framework does not guess the bottom. It commits money in slices at predefined drawdown levels: a first tranche at a modest decline, deeper tranches if the fall continues. If the market recovers early, the first tranche caught it. If it falls further, the next tranche buys cheaper. Either outcome follows the plan, and following the plan is the entire job.

GL China 2015 to 2018 from the backtest: entries at minus 25 and minus 40 percent from the 90-day peak, trailing stop exit in May 2018
GL CHINA 2015–2018, FROM THE 11-YEAR BACKTEST — SIMULATED SERIES, NOT A PROJECTION OF RETURNS

The exact levels and sizing depend on your risk profile and are documented for your policy at the start of our engagement, in writing, where you can hold me to them.

/03 · EXIT

Exits decided at entry, not under fire.

Every position carries its exit from the day it is opened: a trailing stop that rises as the fund rises and never comes back down. Let the winner run; the moment it pulls back a set distance from its post-entry peak, the position is closed and the gain is banked. It is the framework's answer to the oldest investor mistake, riding a winner all the way back down. When the exit triggers, it is executed and you are told why, in plain English.

What this removes is negotiation. No exit gets argued with at midnight because it was agreed months earlier in daylight.

/04 · TEST

Stress-tested before a dollar moves.

Before I trust any rule, I run it through a Monte Carlo battery of ten thousand simulated market scenarios: long grinds, sharp crashes, false recoveries, sideways decades. A thousand runs is the bare minimum I would trust for any financial framework; PEAK is tested at ten times that, and a small fraction of those ten thousand timelines do lose money, which is exactly the kind of result I will show you rather than hide. I pay the most attention to the runs where the framework loses, because that is where its limits live. Clients see these results during consultation, including the uncomfortable ones.

TIMELINES 0 FINISHED POSITIVE 0% BELOW ZERO 0
EVERY DOT IS ONE OF THE TEN THOUSAND SIMULATED TIMELINES FROM THE LATEST PEAK STRESS RUN. THE RED ONES LOST MONEY — 26 OF 10,000. SHAPE SHOWN WITHOUT FIGURES; FULL PERCENTILES ARE WALKED THROUGH IN CONSULTATION. SIMULATED RESULTS ARE ILLUSTRATIVE AND NOT A PROJECTION OF RETURNS.
/05 · SEE IT WORK

Crash a market. Watch the rules respond.

Pick a stylised crash and watch PEAK do its job: cash waits, tranches deploy as the fall deepens, and the trailing stop locks the recovery in. The grey line just holds on. This is the whole framework, animated.

STATUS IN CASH · WATCHING FROM PEAK 0% TRANCHES 0 / 2 MARKET 100.0 PEAK PORTFOLIO 100.0
RULE SHAPE AS DOCUMENTED: ENTRIES AT −25% AND −40% FROM A 90-DAY HIGH · EXIT ON A 15% TRAILING STOP FROM THE POST-ENTRY PEAK. STYLISED SIMULATION ON SYNTHETIC DATA, BUILT ONLY TO ILLUSTRATE THE RULES. NOT FUND DATA, NOT A FORECAST, NOT A PROJECTION OF RETURNS. ACTUAL SIZING DEPENDS ON YOUR RISK PROFILE.
/06 · THE HONEST PART

What PEAK will not do.

It will not predict markets. The framework holds no view on where any index goes next month. It only defines what we do when prices move.

It will not eliminate risk. Funds can fall and stay fallen, and a rules-based plan applied to a structurally broken asset just loses money in an orderly fashion. Fund selection comes before the rules, not after.

It will not beat every market. In a relentless bull run, holding with stops can lag simply staying put. The framework trades some upside for discipline in the falls. That trade is the product. If you want maximum exposure at all times, this is not it, and I will say so.

It does not promise returns. Simulated results are illustrative, past performance is not indicative of future results, and any figures I show you in consultation come with that caveat attached every time.

See it applied to your policy.

A free review takes fifteen minutes. I'll show you what the framework would watch in your current policy, and tell you honestly if you don't need me.

Book a free review

Lu Jia Jun is a representative of Great Eastern Financial Advisers Private Limited (GEFA). RNF No. LJJ300837068. This page is for general information only and does not constitute financial advice, an offer, or a recommendation. Investment-Linked Policies and their sub-funds are not capital-guaranteed; their value can rise and fall and you may get back less than you invested. All charts on this page are illustrative. Past performance, whether actual or simulated, is not indicative of future results. Any recommendation depends on your individual financial circumstances and is provided only after a proper fact-find.